Talent balance

Australia produces talent. Who captures it?

The point is not to moralise about player movement. The point is to reveal the system.

Rugby player balance

Pclose = Popen + E + R + Tin − D − Tout

  • E new entrants
  • R returning players
  • T inbound / outbound transfers
  • D dropouts
  • Unit: unique active players, defined per method note

Talent balance · flow

A Sankey will be drawn when public, non-speculative flows exist at scale. Public biographies are not a census.

ProducedRetainedAbroadOther nationInboundReturningRetired

A single verified pathway — a union-formed fly-half from St Augustine’s who signed with Manly — is filed as a field note. It is not a census.

Joey Walsh and the Northern Beaches Pathway